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I 100% agree with your assessment.Well its sounding like its not a good idea to try and increase the power in the STI. I love the car and the idea of having performance and AWD. But it may be sounding like it wont be enough performance. I get mixed signals because theres so many different opinions on this subject. Even when you look up opinions from tuners and builders advice like Crawford out in California and other reputable places they talk like the weakest link and problem really isn't the EJ motor at all. They say the real issue and cause of failer in these engines is people buying online tunes or taking it to a tuner that really isn't good at tuning these cars. And when that happens the EJ motor does not run right because it either runs lean or has knock and other issues which cause the rings to fail. According to them if its done right and the ECU is tuned right it will last as long as a stock engine!
The biggest challenge is indeed improper modifications and bad tuning practices... particularly by tuners that are unfamiliar with the EJ platform.
That being said, your post is asking what it will take to maintain reliability while increasing the power output by 75%. That's a tall order. I truly believe that the issues with the EJ257 are generally over-hyped... a product of a very vocal community and the prevalence of a metric crapton of performance parts (having a platform around for 25 years tends to do that). Even still, there are limits and increasing the output 75% will most certainly reduce reliability.
If you want power and AWD, the Evo platform really is the superior choice.